Perhaps cynic is too harsh, since many would call themselves “realists” and not cynics. I’ll take that definition.
The many Obama supporters who are running around TPM with doom and gloom pronouncements about Hillary’s imminent succession to the democratic nomination by suicidal Super Delegates who just can’t stand to hear Reverend Wright clear his good name are in fact realists.
His anguish at this moment in history is tiny compared with the importance of electing Barack Obama. – articleman
I just don’t see reality in quite the same way. I have seen evidence that Wright is in fact helping to dispel the negativity of the association by speaking via the corporate media. Unfortunately, that is the place where a lot of Americans still get their information.
My mom completely changed her opinion – one largely based on lack of context – after seeing Reverend Wright speak on CSPAN to the National Press Club. She spoke about her new understanding of the reverend and what his church has done over the years. Hell, she even said she would join that church if she lived in Chicago instead of Colorado. This from a woman who has never belonged or gone to a church as an adult.
I would say the reverend knows what he is doing and is speaking to his audience, to his generation, via the only medium they consistently sue, the television.
Another “realist” opinion is that the Super Delegates will make a backroom deal to take the nomination from Barack and give it to Hillary. That if Barack doesn’t go on the attack and simply plays out the remaining contests with his winning game-plan that the Super Delegates will decide he didn’t want it bad enough and hadn’t earned it, despite winning more states, more votes and more delegates.
Hillary gets an endorsement from NC governor? Tides turn and so do super delegates. In the end, they’re all just politicians. – tpmgary
Yes, they are politicians and they will not commit mass suicide by nominating Hillary over the will of voters. The Supers have a greater understanding of the precipice that this country stands on than anyone else, I think. Many may be scared of a Barack presidency, but they are more scared of the riots that would ensue should they go to Hillary despite the pledged delegate count.
I agree that popular vote is the only metric that makes sense in a representative government. Further, every election should be an open primary with all the available candidates on the ballot, with the candidates from each party who get the most votes that parties nominee. Parties have way too much control over the process.
That is not the system we have today. Those are not the rules by which everyone agreed to play. If Hillary steals the nomination – meaning Barack has the most pledged delegates at the end of the primaries & she gets the Supers to turn – this country will explode. Denver will make Chicago look like a tea party.
The Supers will declare their support for the winner of the pledged delegates once the primaries are over.
They are taking it easy on Hillary because her supporters are critical in the general. No one likes to lose and right now a huge percentage of democratic voters feel like they are losing. They want to grasp at any straw. I don’t blame them. If the situation were reversed, I would be grasping at any straw to see Barack get the nomination. It is human nature. But I think most of her supporters are both fair and understand the rules. They may be fantasizing right now, but once all the contests have been run, most will accept the pledged delegate as the governing metric.
The primaries will play out in whatever fashion they play out, though they are largely immaterial. As soon as Puerto Rico announces their results, the winner of the pledged delegates, per the rules that everyone agree to before the race began, will get enough Super Delegates to cinch the nomination.
Perhaps that makes me an optimist, but I think it is sound analysis based on the available evidence and common sense. I am above all a realist. If I thought for a second that the cynics were right, I would be flying to Denver as well.
Still, I find it ironic that supporters of the candidate running on hope are so quick to lose hope themselves, when they are winning.
I’ll leave you with one more quote from the Chorus of Realistic Optmists:
Sister Mary Margaret on a whole wheat cracker, just absolutely Democrats drive me crazy with this crap. Every time there’s a bump in the road they slam on the brakes jump out of the car and start doing the Chicken Little Dance. It is our worst trait and the best way possible to suck the life out of a campaign. – The Commenter Formerly Known as NCSteve